Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup melemah akibat indeks PCE prices, yang merupakan salah satu indikator inflasi yang dilihat oleh The Fed, mengalami kenaikan lebih besar dari estimasi pada bulan Januari 2023. Indeks PCE prices bulan Januari tercatat sebesar 0,6% mom dan 4,7% yoy, naik dari bulan Desember yang masing-masing sebesar 0,2% mom dan 5,3% yoy. Indeks PCE inti, di luar bahan bakar dan makanan, sebesar 0,6% mom dan 4,7% yoy, juga dari bulan Desember yang sebesar 0,4% mom dan 4,6% yoy. Data tersebut semakin menambah kekhawatiran pasar bahwa The Fed masih akan menerapkan kebijakan suku bunga tinggi untuk menurunkan laju inflasi. Akibatnya dollar AS dan yield US Treasury mengalami kenaikan.

Pada pekan ini data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis diantaranya indeks consumer confidence, indeks ISM manufacturing dan indeks ISM non manufacturing. Dari domestik, data indikator ekonomi yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya indeks PMI manufaktor dan data inflasi bulan Februari 2023.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 24 Februari 2023 ditutup menguat 0,25% pada level 6856. Saham sektor teknologi membukukan kenaikan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor properti mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing net buy Rp77,13 miliar, termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6840/6800 dan resistance 6890/6910. Stock pick: BMRI, BBCA, ASII, TLKM, ITMG, HRUM, ADRO, PTBA, BRPT, MEDC, AKRA, INCO

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