Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup menguat dipicu oleh data pertumbuhan ekonomi AS yang kuat. Pertumbuhan ekonomi AS pada triwulan IV tercatat sebesar 3,3%, jauh di atas perkiraan yang sebesar 2%, yang menunjukkan ketahanan ekonomi AS meskipun adanya kenaikan suku bunga The Fed. Data PDB itu juga menunjukkan indeks PCE prices di luar makanan dan energi, pada kuartal IV tumbuh 2%, sesuai dengan target The Fed. Namun koreksi pada saham Tesla membebani indeks, setelah merilis laporan keuangan yang di bawah estimasi dan memprediksi akan turunnya pertumbuhan volume penjualan kendaraan pada tahun ini. Sementara itu sesuai prediksi pasar, ECB mempertahankan suku bunganya tetap. Harga minyak mentah menguat di tengah kuatnya pertumbuhan ekonomi AS, adanya stimulus dari China, serta ketatnya suplay akibat turunnya cadangan minyak karena badai musim dingin. Harga emas juga menguat dipicu oleh turunnya yield US-Treasury karena data PDB AS yang kuat.

IHSG pada perdagangan Kamis 25 Januari 2024 ditutup melemah 0,69% pada level 7178. Saham sektor keuangan mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor energi membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp49,02 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7160/7130 dan resistance 7200/7230. Stock pick: BBCA, BBTN, ISAT, TLKM, EXCL, ADMR, SMGR, INDF, ICBP, MDKA

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