Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah akibat kembali menguatnya harga minyak mentah yang menambah kecemasan akan tingginya inflasi. Harga minyak mentah WTI menguat akibat terganggunya ekspor minyak dari Rusia dan Kazakhstan melalui pipa Caspian yang menambah kekhawatiran akan ketatnya suplay minyak mentah. Aliran minyak mentah dari pipa tersebut diperkirakan akan berhenti hingga dua bulan akibat gangguan cuaca di Laut Hitam. Pipa tersebut membawa 1,2 juta bpd minyak mentah yang diperhitungkan sekitar 1,2% dari permintaan global. AS juga akan memberikan tambahan sanksi terhadap Rusia pada pertemuan dengan NATO pada hari Kamis. Uni Eropa belum mencapai kesepakatan apakah akan melakukan embargo minyak mentah Rusia. Jika minyak mentah dari Rusia diembargo maka akan terjadi gangguan suplay minyak mentah sekitar 2-3 juta bpd. Cadangan minyak AS juga turun 2,5 juta barel pekan lalu dan produksi tetap stagnan di level 11,6 juta bpd selama tujuh pekan berturut-turut. Pasar juga memonitor perkembangan perang Ukraina, dimana negosiasi kedua negara tidak mencapai kesepakatan gencatan senjata. Yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun kembali menguat pada level 2,41%, yang merupakan level tertinggi sejak Mei 2019.

IHSG pada perdagangan Rabu 23 Maret 2022 ditutup melemah 0,07% pada level 6996. Saham sektor properti mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor transportasi membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing net buy Rp829,02 miliar. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6970/6950 dan resistance 7030/7060. Stock pick: BBRI, BMRI, INCO, TINS, ITMG, ADRO, PTBA, INDY, JSMR

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