Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup melemah dipicu oleh kenaikan yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun di atas level 5% untuk pertama kalinya dalam 16 tahun terakhir. Kenaikan yield ini menjadi faktor negatif karena mendorong kenaikan suku bunga pinjaman dan membuat investasi di pasar saham menjadi kurang menarik. Yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 30 tahun juga naik pada level tertinggi sejak Juli 2007, yang mendorong kenaikan suku bunga KPR tenor 30 tahun mencapai level 8%, yang belum pernah terjadi sejak tahun 2000. Saham-saham bank regional di AS mengalami koreksi seiring dengan kenaikan yield obligasi karena meningkatnya kekhawatiran akan kinerja bank-bank tersebut akibat tingginya exposure kepemilikan obligasi pemerintah AS yang mengalami penurunan nilai. Sementara itu data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya new home sales, data PDB AS, personal income, personal spending dan PCE prices.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 20 Oktober 2023 ditutup menguat 0,04% pada level 6849. Saham sektor kesehatan membukukan kenaikan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor teknologi mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp288,56 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6840/6800 dan resistance 6880/6915. Stock pick: BBRI, BMRI, BBCA, BRIS, ISAT, ICBP, AMMN, MEDC

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