Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup menguat cukup signifikan dan indeks S&P500 ditutup pada rekor tertinggi baru untuk pertama kalinya dalam dua tahun terakhir. Sentimen positif antara lain berasal dari aksi beli saham sektor teknologi di tengah optimisme akan keyakinan konsumen dan ekspektasi melemahnya inflasi. Indeks Michigan’s consumer sentiment mengalami kenaikan 21,4% yoy mencapai level tertinggi sejak Juli 2021, yang mengindikasikan konsumen di AS menjadi lebih optimis dengan ekonomi. Optimisme akan meningkatnya permintaan AI (artificial intelligence) yang akan memacu pertumbuhan kinerja emiten, juga mendorong aksi beli pada saham sektor teknologi. Sementara itu data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya PDB Q4/2023, new home sales, personal income, personal spending dan PCE prices.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 19 Januari 2024 ditutup melemah 0,35% pada level 7227. Saham sektor kesehatan mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor basic materials membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp402,57 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7200/7180 dan resistance 7250/7280. Stock pick: BBRI, BRIS, BBTN, EXCL, AKRA, MDKA

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