Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah akibat kenaikan yield obligasi pemerintah AS setelah data ekonomi AS yang lebih baik dari estimasi membuat ekspektasi penurunan suku bunga The Fed lebih lama dari perkiraan sebelumnya. Data penjualan ritel bulan Desember tumbuh 0,6% mom, lebih tinggi dari estimasi 0,4% mom. Sedangkan penjualan ritel di luar otomotif naik 0,4% mom, lebih tinggi dari estimasi 0,2% mom. Yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun kembali naik di atas level 4,1%. Sementara itu harga minyak mentah cenderung stagnan di tengah sentimen musim dingin di AS, data cadangan AS yang mengalami kenaikan, serta pelemahan ekonomi China. Sedangkan harga emas melemah akibat memudarnya harapan pasar bahwa The Fed akan mulai menurunkan suku bunga pada Maret.

IHSG pada perdagangan Rabu 17 Januari 2024 ditutup melemah 0,58% pada level 7200. Semua sektor melemah dengan pelemahan terbesar pada saham sektor properti. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp1,070 triliun termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7180/7150 dan resistance 7225/7250. Stock pick: BMRI, BRIS, BBTN, PGEO, BREN, CPIN, PANI

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