Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah setelah data penjualan ritel bulan November mengalami penurunan lebih banyak dari perkiraan, sehingga meningkatkan kekhawatiran akan resesi ekonomi akibat kenaikan suku bunga The Fed yang masih akan berlanjut. Data penjualan ritel turun 0,6% lebih besar dari perkiraan yang turun 0,3%. Penurunan penjualan ritel ini mengindikasikan kenaikan inflasi telah berdampak terhadap daya beli konsumen. Saham sektor teknologi yang terdampak terhadap kenaikan suku bunga mengalami pelemahan tajam. Demikian juga dengan saham perbankan yang melemah akibat kekhawatiran akan resesi ekonomi. Sementara itu indeks bursa Eropa juga melemah setelah Bank of England, European Central Bank dan Swiss National Bank masing-masing menaikkan suku bunga sebesar 0,5% dalam rangka untuk menurunkan laju inflasi. ECB juga menyatakan bahwa kenaikan suku bunga masih akan berlanjut. Harga minyak mentah melemah akibat penguatan dollar AS. Sedangkan harga emas juga melemah di tengah proyeksi kenaikan suku bunga masih akan berlanjut.

IHSG pada perdagangan Kamis 15 Desember 2022 ditutup melemah 0,73% pada level 6751. Saham sektor consumer cyclical mencatatkan koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor teknologi membukukan kenaikan terbesar. Investor asing net buy Rp671,13 miliar, termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6715/6680 dan resistance 6800/6825. Stock pick: SMGR, TPIA, SRTG, SIMP, INDF, ICBP, ADMR

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