Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup menguat meskipun data inflasi tingkat produsen bulan April lebih tinggi dari perkiraan. Indeks PPI bulan April tercatat sebesar 0,5% mom, lebih tinggi dari estimasi 0,3%. Awalnya pasar merespon negatif data tersebut, karena memudarkan harapan pasar akan penurunan suku bunga The Fed segera. Namun indeks PPI bulan Maret direvisi menjadi turun 0,1%, cukup meredakan kekhawatiran pasar akan inflasi yang terus bertahan. Selain itu pasar juga menantikan data inflasi tingkat konsumen yang akan dirilis nanti malam. Sementara itu Chairman The Fed Jerome Powell mengulangi pernyataannya bahwa laju inflasi turun lebih lambat dari perkiraan sehingga membuat The Fed akan mempertahankan suku bunga tinggi lebih lama dari perkiraan sebelumnya. Meskipun demikian Powell juga mengulangi pernyataannya bahwa The Fed kemungkinan tidak akan menaikkan suku bunga lagi.

IHSG pada perdagangan Selasa 14 Mei 2024 ditutup melemah 0,22% pada level 7083. Saham sektor industri mengalami pelemahan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor consumer non cyclical membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp770,84 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non regular. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7050/7020 dan resistance 7120/7150. Stock pick: BBRI, BBNI, UNVR, PGEO, SMRA, TPIA, ISAT

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