Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup mix, di mana indeks Dow Jones dan S&P500 ditutup melemah, sedangkan Nasdaq Composite ditutup menguat tipis. Pelemahan indeks dipicu oleh laporan keuangan JP Morgan dan Morgan Stanley yang mengecewakan, potensi kenaikan suku bunga The Fed lebih tinggi, serta meningkatnya kekhawatiran akan inflasi. Sebelumnya indeks sempat melemah lebih dalam pada perdagangan kemarin. Nanti malam akan dirilis laporan keuangan Citigroup dan Wells Fargo. Laporan keuangan bank yang di bawah estimasi meningkatkan kekhawatiran akan kesehatan ekonomi karena kinerja perbankan merupakan salah satu indikator bagi perkembangan ekonomi. Sementara itu indeks PPI, yang merupakan inflasi di tingkat produsen, berada pada level 11,3% yoy akibat kenaikan harga minyak mentah, meningkat dibandingkan bulan sebelumnya 10,9% yoy dan lebih tinggi dari estimasi 10,7% yoy. Indeks PPI ini juga menggambarkan masih adanya tekanan inflasi tinggi ke depannya. Spread antara yield tenor 2 tahun dan 10 tahun makin melebar, yang mengindikasikan potensi terjadinya resesi ke depannya. Pada hari ini akan dirilis data PDB China. Dan dari domestik akan dirilis data neraca perdagangan.

IHSG pada perdagangan Kamis 14 Juli 2022 ditutup menguat 0,74% pada level 6690. Saham sektor industri membukukan kenaikan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor keuangan mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing net sell Rp464,17 miliar, termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6600/6560 dan resistance 6725/6760. Stock pick: BBRI, UNTR, ASII, INDF, UNVR, JSMR, WIKA, PTPP

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