Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup melemah dan memasuki koreksi mingguan selama lima pekan berturut-turut. Sentimen negatif masih berasal dari kekhawatiran akan dampak masih berlanjutnya perang Rusia-Ukraina serta berbagai sanksi ekonomi yang dikenakan oleh AS terhadap Rusia. Genjatan senjata yang diharapkan ternyata belum terjadi, sehingga menimbulkan kekecewaan dan menambah ketidakpastian pasar. Indeks Michigan consumer sentiment bulan Maret turun pada level 59,7 dari bulan sebelumnya 62,8, yang merupakan level terendah sejak September 2011. Data tersebut menunjukkan indeks kepercayaan konsumen AS yang melemah akibat kekhawatiran akan tingginya inflasi, kenaikan suku bunga dan potensi perlambatan ekonomi.

Fokus perhatian pasar global pada pekan ini adalah pertemuan The Fed yang dijadwalkan akan berlangsung pada Selasa-Rabu waktu AS. The Fed diperkirakan akan mulai menaikkan suku bunga sebesar 0,25%. Data indikator ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya PPI, retail sales, housing starts, building permits, industrial production dan existing home sales. Di domestik, dijadwalkan akan diselenggarakan RDG BI pada pekan ini.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 11 Maret 2022 ditutup melemah 0,02% pada level 6922. Saham sektor energi mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor transportasi membukukan kenaikan terbesar. Investor asing net sell Rp129,41 miliar. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6850/6825 dan resistance 6960/6996. Stock pick: BBCA, BBNI, BBTN, TLKM, EXCL, PTBA, ADRO, EMTK

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