Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street kembali ditutup mix, di mana indeks Dow Jones ditutup melemah, sedangkan indeks S&P500 dan Nasdaq Composite ditutup menguat. Seperti yang diperkirakan, The Fed masih mempertahankan suku bunga tetap di level 5,25%-5,5% pada pertemuan kemarin. The Fed juga mengindikasikan bahwa ada kemajuan dalam laju inflasi yang bergerak menuju target The Fed pada 2%. Namun dalam proyeksinya The Fed mengindikasikan hanya satu kali penurunan suku bunga pada tahun ini, turun dari proyeksi awal tahun ini yang diperkirakan akan turun sebanyak tiga kali. Pengumuman hasil pertemuan The Fed tersebut setelah dirilisnya data inflasi AS bulan Mei yang stagnan, di bawah estimasi 0,1% mom. Inflasi yoy tercatat sebesar 3,3%, juga di bawah perkiraan 3,4% yoy. Untuk inflasi inti tercatat sebesar 0,2% mom dan 3,4% yoy, yang masing-masing di bawah estimasi yang sebesar 0,3% mom dan 3,5% yoy. Penurunan inflasi ini mendorong koreksi yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun pada level 4,25%, yang merupakan level terendah sejak 1 April 2024.

IHSG pada perdagangan Rabu 12 Juni 2024 ditutup melemah 0,08% pada level 6850. Saham sektor teknologi mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor infrastruktur membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp746,97 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non regular. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6810/6760 dan resistance 6870/6890. Stock pick: ASII, BBRI, BBTN, ADRO, ADMR, UNVR, INDF, TPIA, ANTM

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