Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada perdagangan kemarin ditutup variatif, dimana indeks Dow Jones dan S&P500 menguat sedangkan Nasdaq Composite melemah. Penguatan indeks dipicu oleh data inflasi yang tidak setinggi yang dikhawatirkan. Data inflasi AS bulan Juli melambat menjadi 0,5% mom dari 0,9% mom, sehingga untuk inflasi tahunan tetap pada level 5,4% yoy meskipun sedikit di atas perkiraan yang sebesar 5,3% yoy. Untuk inflasi inti juga melambat menjadi 0,3% mom dari 0,9% mom, di bawah estimasi yang sebesar 0,4% mom. Secara tahunan, inflasi inti pada kisaran 4,3% yoy. Yield US-T note tenor 10 tahun mengalami penurunan karena data inflasi dan komentar Presiden The Fed Dallas bahwa The Fed seharusnya mulai mengurangi program pembelian obligasi pada bulan Oktober. Harga minyak mentah sempat melemah dan rebound setelah White House menyerukan kepada OPEC agar menaikkan produksi minyak untuk mendukung pemulihan ekonomi global dari pandemi. Harga emas rebound seiring dengan inflasi yang melambat meredakan kekhawatiran potensi The Fed akan melakukan pengetatan kebijakan moneter lebih cepat dari perkiraan.
Pada perdagangan Selasa, indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup mix, dimana indeks Dow Jones dan S&P500 ditutup menguat, sedangkan Nasdaq Composite ditutup di teritori negatif. Indeks Dow Jones dan S&P500 mencapai rekor tertinggi baru setelah Senat meloloskan UU paket infrastruktur senilai USD1 triliun yang mendorong penguatan terhadap saham yang terkait dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Paket infrastuktur tersebut termasuk pengeluaran baru di sektor transportasi dan broadband senilai USD550 miliar, diharapkan dapat membantu mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi AS. Namun saham sektor teknologi melemah akibat kenaikan yield obligasi pemerintah AS.
IHSG pada perdagangan Selasa 10 Agustus 2021 ditutup melemah 0,64% pada level 6088. Saham sektor teknologi mengalami pelemahan terbesar. Investor asing net buy Rp16,69 miliar. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6015/5985 dan resistance 6110/6165. Stock pick: ANTM, TINS, INCO, KLBF, UNTR, ISAT, INDY, ASII, INDF, JSMR

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