Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah akibat data pasar tenaga kerja yang masih kuat meskipun The Fed telah menaikkan suku bunga sebagai upaya menurunkan inflasi, sehingga menimbulkan kekhawatiran bahwa kenaikan suku bunga The Fed masih akan berlanjut dalam waktu yang lebih lama dari perkiraan sebelumnya. Data ADP Employment bulan Desember menunjukkan kenaikan penyerapan tenaga kerja di atas estimasi, yaitu sebanyak 235 ribu. Tingkat upah juga mengalami kenaikan, yang menunjukkan pasar tenaga kerja masih ketat dan dapat berpotensi membuat inflasi masih tinggi. Data initial claims pekan lalu juga menunjukkan penurunan jumlah klaim pengangguran. Pasar akan menantikan data nonfarm payrolls yang akan dirilis nanti malam. Sementara itu harga minyak mentah rebound setelah data cadangan minyak AS mengalami penurunan. Sedangkan harga emas melemah karena potensi kenaikan suku bunga masih akan berlanjut akibat data tenaga kerja yang masih ketat.

IHSG pada perdagangan Kamis 5 Januari 2023 ditutup melemah 2,34% pada level 6653. Saham sektor energi mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor kesehatan menjadi satu-satunya sektor yang menguat. Investor asing net sell Rp806,91 miliar, termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6603/6560 dan resistance 6690/6715. Stock pick: BBRI, BBCA, BBNI, INDF, ICBP, UNVR, MDKA, AMRT, CPIN, UNTR

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