Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah akibat kenaikan yield US-Treasury karena kekhawatiran penurunan suku bunga The Fed tidak sebanyak yang diperkirakan sebelumnya. Yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun naik 0,13% pada level 4,166% setelah Chairman The Fed Jerome Powell menyatakan data ekonomi AS yang kuat memberi lebih banyak waktu bagi The Fed untuk menantikan data inflasi yang terkonfirmasi turun sebelum mulai menurunkan suku bunga. Hal itu membuat pasar memprediksi penurunan suku bunga The Fed pada tahun ini hanya sebanyak lima kali dibandingkan prediksi sebelumnya yang sebanyak enam kali, karena kemungkinan besar The Fed tidak akan menurunkan suku bunga pada pertemuan Maret mendatang. Sementara itu harga minyak mentah menguat karena konflik di Timur Tengah. Sedangkan harga emas melemah akibat penguatan dollar AS.

IHSG pada perdagangan Senin 05 Februari 2024 ditutup melemah 0,55% pada level 7198. Saham sektor basic materials mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor transportasi membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp493,39 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7170/7150 dan resistance 7245/7270. Stock pick: BMRI, UNVR, KLBF, MBMA, MYOR, AMDR, ADRO, KLBF

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