Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup melemah akibat data pasar tenaga kerja yang kuat menimbulkan kekhawatiran bahwa The Fed akan masih melanjutkan kenaikan suku bunganya sebagai upaya untuk meredam inflasi. Data nonfarm payrolls bulan Januari 2023 tercatat penyerapan tenaga kerja sebanyak 517 ribu, lebih besar dari bulan sebelumnya yang sebanyak 260 ribu dan dari estimasi yang sebanyak 190 ribu. Tingkat pengangguran juga turun menjadi 3,4% dari bulan sebelumnya 3,5%, serta dari perkiraan 3,6%. Rata-rata tingkat upah per jam naik 0,3%, sesuai dengan perkiraan. Sementara itu indeks PMI sektor jasa juga naik pada level 55,2 dari bulan sebelumnya yang di level 49,2, serta lebih tinggi dari perkiraan di level 50,3. Yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun mengalami kenaikan akibat data nonfarm payrolls yang jauh lebih banyak dari perkiraan, sedangkan harga minyak mentah dan emas melemah.

Dari domestik pada pekan ini akan dirilis data pertumbuhan ekonomi RI tahun 2022, cadangan devisa, consumer confidence, penjualan ritel dan penjualan sepeda motor. IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 3 Februari 2023 ditutup menguat 0,31% pada level 6911. Saham sektor teknologi membukukan kenaikan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor energi mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing net buy Rp1,25 triliun, termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6890/6850 dan resistance 6955/6987. Stock pick: BBCA, BBRI, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, TLKM, PGAS, ICBP, INDF, BSDE, WIKA, WSKT

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