Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup menguat, yang dipicu oleh laporan keuangan Meta dan Amazon yang lebih baik dari estimasi, meskipun data nonfarm payrolls yang lebih baik dari perkiraan telah mendorong kenaikan yield US-Treasury. Data nonfarm payrolls bulan Januari mencatat penyerapan tenaga kerja sebanyak 353 ribu, di atas estimasi yang sebesar 185 ribu. Tingkat upah juga naik sebesar 4,5% yoy, di atas perkiraan yang sebesar 4,1% yoy. Data tersebut mendorong kenaikan yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun pada level 4,02%. Harga minyak mentah dan emas juga melemah karena data tenaga kerja AS tersebut melemahkan harapan akan penurunan suku bunga The Fed dalam waktu dekat.

Data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya indeks ISM manufacturing dan initial claims. Dari domestik, dijadwalkan akan dirilis data pertumbuhan ekonomi Q4/2023 dan cadangan devisa.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 02 Februari 2024 ditutup menguat 0,51% pada level 7238. Saham sektor kesehatan membukukan penguatan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor energi mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp1,46 triliun termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7190/7170 dan resistance 7250/7270. Stock pick: BBRI, BMRI, ISAT, EXCL, ASII, UNVR, KLBF, MBMA, MDKA

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