Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup mix di mana indeks Dow Jones ditutup melemah sedangkan indeks S&P500 dan Nasdaq Composite ditutup di teritori positif. Indeks ISM manufaktur AS bulan Mei turun memasuki level kontraksi yaitu di level 48,7, sehingga mendorong penurunan yield US-Treasury dan dollar AS. Saham-saham yang sektornya terkait dengan ekonomi juga mengalami koreksi, yaitu saham sektor perbankan, energi, komoditas dan industrial. Di lain pihak Nasdaq Composite menguat dipicu oleh kenaikan pada saham Nvidia, setelah mengumumkan rangkaian chip AI baru. Sementara itu harga minyak mentah melemah. Delapan anggota OPEC+ yang dipimpin oleh Arab Saudi dan Rusia akan mulai melakukan pengurangan produksi sebesar 2,2 juta barel per hari secara bertahap mulai bulan Oktober. Berdasarkan rencana, lebih dari 500.000 barel per hari akan kembali ke pasar pada bulan Desember, dan 1,8 juta barel per hari akan kembali ke pasar pada bulan Juni 2025. Harga emas menguat karena data ekonomi yang melemah meningkatkan harapan akan penurunan suku bunga The Fed.

IHSG pada perdagangan Senin 3 Juni 2024 ditutup menguat 0,94% pada level 7036. Saham sektor kesehatan membukukan penguatan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor infrastruktur mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp243,44 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non regular. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7000/6980 dan resistance 7070/7102. Stock pick: BBRI, BMRI, BBCA, BBTN, BBNI, ASII, TLKM, EXCL

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