Market Review and Prediction

Bursa Wall Street serta bursa London dan beberapa bursa Asia kemarin tutup libur Tahun Baru. Indeks bursa Eropa ditutup menguat dipicu oleh data indikator awal yang mengindikasikan pelemahan manufaktur mulai berlalu seiring dengan mulai pulihnya jaringan suplay dan berkurangnya tekanan inflasi. Yield obligasi pemerintah Jerman mengalami penurunan, seiring dengan proyeksi inflasi tahun ini akan turun.

Dari domestik, data inflasi Desember 2022 tercatat sebesar 0,66% mom, sehingga inflasi tahun 2022 tercatat sebesar 5,51% yoy, meningkat dari inflasi tahun 2021 yang sebesar 1,87% yoy serta lebih tinggi dari kisaran target Bank Indonesia yang sekitar 2%-4%. Inflasi inti bulan Desember 2022 sebesar 0,22% mom, sehingga untuk inflasi inti tahun 2022 tercatat sebesar 3,36% yoy.

IHSG pada perdagangan Senin 2 Januari 2023 ditutup menguat 0,005% pada level 6850, setelah sebelumnya sempat melemah hingga level 6823. Saham sektor consumer noncyclical membukukan kenaikan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor kesehatan mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing net sell Rp299,03 miliar, termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6800/6785 dan resistance 6880/6890. Stock pick: BBRI, BBNI, TLKM, ASII, INDF, ICBP, PTBA, MEDC, MDKA, SMGR

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