Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada perdagangan akhir tahun lalu ditutup melemah terbatas. Namun untuk tahun 2023, ketiga indeks utama di bursa Wall Street berhasil ditutup menguat karena sentimen positif dari laju inflasi AS yang menurun, ekonomi AS yang masih kuat serta ekspektasi penurunan suku bunga The Fed pada tahun 2024 ini. Untuk tahun 2023, indeks Dow Jones ditutup menguat 13,7%, indeks S&P500 menguat 24,23% dan Nasdaq Composite ditutup menguat 43,42%. Pada pekan ini pasar akan mencermati data indikator ekonomi AS, yaitu diantaranya indeks ISM manufacturing, FOMC minutes, ADP Employment change, nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate dan indeks ISM non-manufacturing. Dari domestik akan dirilis data indeks PMI manufaktur, inflasi dan kunjungan wisatawan.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 29 Desember 2023 ditutup melemah 0,43% pada level 7272. Saham sektor basic materials mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor teknologi membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp872,94 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler.
Sepanjang tahun 2023, IHSG ditutup menguat 6,16%. Saham sektor infrastruktur membukukan penguatan terbesar dan saham sektor teknologi mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing secara akumulasi melakukan net sell senilai Rp6,19 triliun sepanjang tahun 2023. Lima besar saham yang menyumbangkan penguatan terhadap IHSG sepanjang tahun 2023 lalu adalah BREN, AMMN, BMRI, BBRI dan TPIA. Sebaliknya lima besar saham yang membebani IHSG sepanjang tahun 2023 lalu adalah ADRO, BEBS, MDKA, BYAN dan BUMI. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7250/7220 dan resistance 7300/7320. Stock pick: BBNI, BBTN, BRIS, ASII, ADMR, EMTK, SMGR, AKRA, TLKM, JSMR, TOWR

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