Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup melemah di tengah meningkatnya kekhawatiran akan resesi ekonomi global akibat tren kenaikan suku bunga dan gejolak nilai tukar. Indeks bursa Eropa juga mengalami koreksi terimbas dampak kenaikan suku bunga serta rencana ekonomi baru Inggris. Bank sentral Inggris menaikkan suku bunga sebesar 0,5%, yang merupakan kenaikan ke tujuh kalinya berturut-turut, serta menyatakan ekonomi Inggris telah memasuki resesi. Pemerintah Inggris mengumumkan pemotongan pajak dalam rangka persiapan negara itu mengalami resesi. Yield US-Treasury tenor dua tahun dan 10 tahun melanjutkan kenaikannya. Harga minyak mentah melemah akibat kekhawatiran akan resesi ekonomi global yang akan menurunkan permintaan minyak. Harga emas melemah akibat penguatan dollar AS dan rencana The Fed yang masih akan melanjutkan kenaikan suku bunga secara agresif.

Data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya durable orders, indeks harga rumah, consumer confidence, new home sales, personal spending, personal income dan PCE prices. Dari domestik akan dirilis data inflasi bulan September.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 23 September 2022 ditutup melemah 0,56% pada level 7178. Saham sektor energi mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor consumer non cyclical membukukan kenaikan terbesar. Investor asing net sell Rp767,94 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non regular. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7100/7050 dan resistance 7200/7225. Stock pick: ASII, ADRO, INDY, INCO, SRTG, SMGR, ICBP, INKP

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